Polymarket Trader

ManuelMartinezMartinez

0x5fcb6296909999831f6c62ac7850a3004766cb06

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3
Realized PnL: $60.06
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.5
Potential profit: $57.5
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $50.01
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the July meeting?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.39
Potential profit: $6.39
User PnL: -$2.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.21
Potential profit: $4.21
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.71
Potential profit: $3.71
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $1.79
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $1.67
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $1.54
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Colombia position

Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Egypt position

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Up 18% 1.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Up 65% 1.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Up 64% 1.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Down 42% 1.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Down 62% 1.61 shares
Will Trump say "Military" during Tribute to America Rally?

No 7% 11.11 shares
Overwatch: Cheeseburger vs SuperBad (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Last Chance Qualifier

Cheeseburger 78% 1.08 shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

T1 52% 1.85 shares
Will Trump say "Military" during Tribute to America Rally?

No 9% 11.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 22% 4.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2AM ET

Down 68% 1.16 shares
Overwatch: Cheeseburger vs SuperBad (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Last Chance Qualifier

Cheeseburger 98% 1.08 shares