Polymarket Trader

larrylarry1

0x5fdd48ccf05f6b0a0352cbfc7fd063a2aceb2132

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.93
Realized PnL: $202.82
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $37.5
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.3
Potential profit: $37.3
User PnL: -$2.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.08
Potential profit: $23.08
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.43
Potential profit: $20.43
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.39
Potential payout: $19.1
Potential profit: $16.71
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $1.49
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $15.18
Multiplier: 11.17x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $15.59
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $11.79
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $10.9
Potential profit: $10.15
Multiplier: 14.49x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $10.01
User PnL: -$4.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $8.72
Potential profit: $7.54
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $2.31
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $5.38
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $3.23
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $4.46
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Microsoft have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.04
Potential profit: $5.04
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.94

Yes position

Will "Man I Need - Olivia Dean" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of April 25?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.46

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.64

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $12.52

Yes position

Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $10.89

Yes position

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.52

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.48

Yes position

Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.56

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.98

Yes position

Will Giulio Centenaro win the 2026 Selvazzano Dentro by-election?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.46

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.17

Yes position

Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $6.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.4

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 26 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.27

No position

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.24

Yes position

Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.08

Yes position

Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.05

Yes position

Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $5.95

Yes position

Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.69

Yes position

Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.47

Yes position

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $4.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 7?

Yes 13% 10.71 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 8?

Yes 12% 17.85 shares
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 8?

Yes 24% 6.49 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on July 8?

Yes 5% 10.9 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 7?

Yes 41% 9.38 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on July 8?

Yes 9% 16.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 8?

Yes 9% 16.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 8?

Yes 13% 8.72 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 7?

Yes 21% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 7?

Yes 39% 7.69 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 7?

Yes 4% 7.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 7?

Yes 8% 8 shares