Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $249.63
- Potential profit
- $249.63
- User PnL
- -$68.4
Polymarket Trader
Kianl998
0x5fe5ccd3bf0e9afea165e52b0550e14b15307de3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $406.11
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.93
- Potential profit
- $199.93
- User PnL
- -$32.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.36
- Potential profit
- $199.36
- User PnL
- -$49.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.28
- Potential profit
- $199.28
- User PnL
- -$51.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $170
- User PnL
- -$81.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.86
- Potential profit
- $149.86
- User PnL
- -$56.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.96
- Potential profit
- $119.96
- User PnL
- -$62.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$18.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$21.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$28.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.1
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- $4.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.01x
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.1%
- Multiplier
- 8.30x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C on July 3?No 99.8% 2.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or below on July 3?No 99.9% 7.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 3?No 99.7% 9.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on July 3?No 99.8% 8.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on July 3?No 99.9% 7.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C or below on July 3?No 99.9% 8.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or below on July 2?No 99.8% 9.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 1?No 99.9% 7.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 1?No 99.9% 6.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on July 1?No 99.9% 3.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C or higher on July 1?No 99.9% 3.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or below on July 1?No 99.8% 8.72 shares