Polymarket Trader

JasonTheWhale

@Jason20000220

0x5fe6fc35d09027ed47a8a761bb1c652d4af371ed

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.35
Realized PnL: $101.35
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Liftoff Mobile's market cap be between $4.75B and $5.00B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be 90% or higher?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Clear Street Group Inc.'s market cap be less than $9.0B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.99
Potential profit: $599.99
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Robert Whittaker be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $498.75
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will any Premier League club reach 90 points?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Deiveson Figueiredo be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $3.67
Potential payout: $333.32
Potential profit: $329.66
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: $2.67

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $660 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.8
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.65
Potential profit: $196.65
User PnL: -$1.31

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.29
Potential profit: $146.29
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will Maddox Dagenais be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.33
Potential profit: $53.33
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will Caio Borralho be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.48
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Marcin Tybura be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $37.81
Potential profit: $37.42
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will National Dialogue Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $31.27
Potential profit: $31.21
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Steve Ballmer be 3rd richest person on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $5.67
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $25.58
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: $4.67

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Seattle Sounders FC next?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.6%
Current value: $5.8
Potential payout: $25.73
Potential profit: $19.93
Multiplier: 4.43x
User PnL: $5.03

Yes position

Exact Score: Fulham FC 3 - 3 Burnley FC?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.31
Potential profit: $25.31
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Mario Bautista be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $18.09
Potential profit: $17.83
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $17.53
Potential profit: $17.02
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$0.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump not say any listed term during the 2026 State of the Union Address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.18

Ohio Bobcats position

Ohio Bobcats vs. Ball State Cardinals

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.87

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Multiplier: 4.98x
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.66

Yes position

Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win less than 10% of votes in the first round?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.62

Yes position

Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.62

No position

Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Yes position

Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 12% and 14% of votes in the first round?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.2

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Player 191 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.92

Yes position

Will the US strike Yemen next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.74

Yes position

Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Yes position

Hurupay FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

US bank failure by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97

No position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Will Reinier de Ridder be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will Player 148 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Yes 51.3% 4.99 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

56.8% 1.76 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22?

82.8% 1.21 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

62.3% 1.61 shares
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

No 75% 1.33 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

No 8% 10 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Yes 13% 3 shares
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Yes 40% 2.5 shares
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Yes 4% 12.58 shares
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?

Yes 12.1% 9.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Up 65.3% 7.46 shares
Will Player 152 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Yes 1% 8.2 shares