Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $3.69K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $16.31K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $10
Polymarket Trader
haoyunlaia
@h463340
0x5ff05208bd8eaf385e5689dda7090a33528548b3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.53K
- Realized PnL
- $1.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $835.01
- Potential payout
- $836.68
- Potential profit
- $1.67
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.66
Yes position
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.63
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.98
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.14
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.89
No position
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.66
No position
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.42
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.16
Yes position
Will Backpack launch a token on March 23?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.09
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.46
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?Yes 99.7% 18.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?Yes 99.8% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?Yes 99% 311.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?Yes 99.1% 10.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?Yes 99% 286.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 17?No 99.9% 1,652.71 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 99.9% 3,000 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.7% 8,000 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.7% 217 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 68% 200 shares
- Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Yes 67% 300 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 83% 200 shares