Polymarket Trader

0x5fF453a694dA3583bB8e830EBe3BFd479a379cdc-1772275839820

0x5ff453a694da3583bb8e830ebe3bfd479a379cdc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $237.71
Realized PnL: $583.86
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.45
Potential profit: $256.45
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.79
Potential profit: $238.79
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.1
Potential profit: $196.1
User PnL: -$31.73

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173.17
Potential profit: $173.17
User PnL: -$74.03

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $58.9
Potential payout: $165.9
Potential profit: $107.01
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$41.1

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $132.03
Potential payout: $141.21
Potential profit: $9.18
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $7.03

Yes position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.8
Potential profit: $100.8
User PnL: -$42

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $26.64
Potential payout: $44.04
Potential profit: $17.39
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $1.64

Yes position

Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 26, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.31
Potential profit: $37.31
User PnL: -$3.47

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.09
Potential profit: $35.09
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.44
Potential profit: $29.44
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $13.2
Potential payout: $15.09
Potential profit: $1.89
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.57
Potential profit: $13.57
User PnL: -$5.7

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $6.93
Potential payout: $8.11
Potential profit: $1.18
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.79
Potential profit: $4.79
User PnL: -$3.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.13

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.92

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.55

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.88

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.77

Yes position

Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.41

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.84

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.98

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.32

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.57

No position

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.82

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.26

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.95

No position

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

No position

Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.78

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.17

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.54

Yes position

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

Yes position

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.66

Yes position

Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

No 74% 8.11 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

No 89% 78.65 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

No 99% 76.14 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

No 82.1% 6.09 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

No 94.8% 21.09 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

No 88.5% 56.47 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 11.1% 177.51 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 16.9% 177.51 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

No 83.1% 103.26 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

No 89% 55.06 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

No 83% 72.29 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

No 99.8% 109.53 shares