Polymarket Trader

0x5ff5A3ce2D5D2AD2a5C4F484E483DFc1eD7e7447-1771081052345

0x5ff5a3ce2d5d2ad2a5c4f484e483dfc1ed7e7447

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $171.75
Realized PnL: $902.96
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Norway win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $29.55
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $425
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$70.45

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $47.43
Potential payout: $369.12
Potential profit: $321.69
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: -$14.57

Yes position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $244.89
Potential profit: $244.89
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $11.32
Potential payout: $233.33
Potential profit: $222.02
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: $4.32

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $76.16
Potential payout: $232.56
Potential profit: $156.4
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $46.16

Yes position

Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $121.95
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $7.29
Potential payout: $112.22
Potential profit: $104.93
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$12.71

Yes position

Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.45
Potential profit: $105.45
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.59
Potential profit: $92.59
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.06
Potential profit: $43.06
User PnL: -$19.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.89
Potential profit: $41.89
User PnL: -$19.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.47
Potential profit: $36.47
User PnL: -$19.69

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.99
Potential profit: $30.99
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.96
Potential profit: $27.96
User PnL: -$9.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.76
Potential profit: $24.76
User PnL: -$9.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.88
Potential profit: $21.88
User PnL: -$9.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.34
Potential profit: $18.34
User PnL: -$4.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.27
Potential profit: $14.27
User PnL: -$1

Flavio Cobolli position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.25
Potential profit: $7.25
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.84

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.3

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.05

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.62

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.82

No position

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.86

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 91.8%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $34.34

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.38

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.01

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.37

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.22

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.02

No position

Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.07

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.06

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.18

Yes position

Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.61

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.96

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 12% 350 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 82% 121.95 shares
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Yes 19% 105.45 shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 81.1% 227.29 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 20% 350 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 19% 461.54 shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 66% 227.3 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 55% 645.16 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 31% 645.16 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 98.2% 111.35 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 89.8% 111.36 shares
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

No 90% 158.73 shares