Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $4.61
- Potential payout
- $9.61
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Polymarket Trader
0x5ff7...9bc9
0x5ff76a154854280e45b228ad3ebde97553449bc9
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $63.24
- Realized PnL
- $94.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $5.13
- Potential payout
- $9.25
- Potential profit
- $4.12
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $4.73
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $4.28
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $6.87
- Potential payout
- $8.69
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.91
No position
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $7.22
- Potential payout
- $8.65
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $2.29
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $4.11
- Potential payout
- $8.65
- Potential profit
- $4.54
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $2.89
- Potential payout
- $8.15
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $3.79
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $4.36
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $4.67
- Potential payout
- $8.05
- Potential profit
- $3.38
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $4.11
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $3.52
- Potential payout
- $7.1
- Potential profit
- $3.59
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.31
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $6.49
- Potential payout
- $6.59
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $5.48
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $6.32
- Potential profit
- $4.9
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.16
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $2.42
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.94
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.23
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" 7+ times during Memphis Roundtable?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
Down position
Meta (META) Up or Down on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74
Up position
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Up position
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
No position
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 58.6% 8.05 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 49% 9 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes 75% 6.59 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?No 68% 7.1 shares
- Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 30% 14.2 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 24% 6.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No 50% 9.94 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 26% 7.85 shares
- Will Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?No 21% 6 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 68% 7.1 shares
- Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?No 68% 7.35 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 43% 8 shares