Polymarket Trader

rains45

0x5fff4aea410f8475127a845b9780fab2120d3cf1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $354.18
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $401.49
Potential profit: $401.29
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $24.6
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $375.4
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$11.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $398.6
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $398.6
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $6.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $393.6
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $3.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $396.6
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$7.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $5.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $394.8
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $391
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $397.4
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.39
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $86
Potential payout: $399.98
Potential profit: $313.98
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $105.99
Potential payout: $399.97
Potential profit: $293.98
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $19.6
Potential payout: $399.97
Potential profit: $380.37
Multiplier: 20.41x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $85.99
Potential payout: $399.97
Potential profit: $313.97
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267
Potential profit: $267
User PnL: -$0.53

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 9% 400 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 2.8% 400 shares
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 267 shares