No position
Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $1.32
- Potential payout
- $1.51
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Polymarket Trader
celestiano
0x60038f7c006f097877634ae2e69c6e93a54f954f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.32
- Realized PnL
- $5.56
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50 and 60?
Ends Feb 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
OpenAI browser by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Barcelona position
Copa Del Rey: Barcelona vs. Atlético Madrid (To Advance)
Ends Apr 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Knicks position
Heat vs. Knicks
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Murphy position
Emmett vs. Murphy
Ends Apr 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Magic position
Nets vs. Magic
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Feds raid Jay-Z before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Another NATO article 4 by October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 21?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times November 1-8?
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Mar 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Monkeypox pandemic in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
GPT-5 not announced in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will there be between 16 and 20 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?No 95.1% 1.51 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 21?No 97.8% 1.33 shares
- Heat vs. KnicksKnicks 66% 1.52 shares
- Nets vs. MagicMagic 88% 1.14 shares
- Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?No 71% 2.39 shares
- Another NATO article 4 by October 15?No 98% 3.06 shares
- Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No 71% 1.52 shares
- Liberty vs. ValkyriesLiberty 72% 2.64 shares
- OpenAI browser by August 31?No 69% 2.25 shares
- Emmett vs. MurphyMurphy 72% 1.54 shares
- Copa Del Rey: Barcelona vs. Atlético Madrid (To Advance)Barcelona 59% 1.69 shares
- Feds raid Jay-Z before April?No 95.7% 1.62 shares