No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.4%
- Current value
- $115.49
- Potential payout
- $141.9
- Potential profit
- $26.41
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $6.6
Polymarket Trader
chatball1
0x6011bdebddfb48b9234cf872fa4ce5a8167a7f7b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $219.53
- Realized PnL
- $42.26
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$27.3
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $19.95
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $19.96
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $19.79
- Potential payout
- $19.98
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- User PnL
- $1.59
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $9.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $7.6
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Anyones Legend position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
LNG Esports position
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 91% 10 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 91% 20 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 94% 9.99 shares
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-InWeibo Gaming 67% 30 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 97.5% 10 shares
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes 90% 10 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes 88% 11.36 shares
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyones Legend 47% 21.28 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No 74.8% 11.9 shares
- Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?No 90% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 94% 9.99 shares
- Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?No 95% 5 shares