rnnn22

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.95
Potential profit: $39.95
User PnL: -$7.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $33.6
Potential profit: $32.54
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$4.1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.6
Potential profit: $28.6
User PnL: -$2.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $11.71
Potential payout: $22.51
Potential profit: $10.8
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $1.44
Potential payout: $20.92
Potential profit: $19.48
Multiplier: 14.49x
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $8.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11.2
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $2.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.2
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$3.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.83

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.12

Down position

XRP Up or Down - December 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET