Polymarket Trader

UltimaWe4pon

0x604640601895b678fe76d0e2a06d5cd1985f3f9d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $216.71
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 93°F or below on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $9.38
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $615.63
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $10.95
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $465.24
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $19.77
Potential payout: $232.55
Potential profit: $212.78
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $9.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $15.12
Potential payout: $187.78
Potential profit: $172.66
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: $5.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $10.51
Potential payout: $140.1
Potential profit: $129.59
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $6.28
Potential payout: $139.49
Potential profit: $133.21
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$4.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $10.79
Potential payout: $126.93
Potential profit: $116.14
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $10.92
Potential payout: $114.99
Potential profit: $104.07
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $12.22
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $98.89
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $8.33
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $102.78
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $8.91
Potential payout: $99
Potential profit: $90.09
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $9.33
Potential payout: $98.24
Potential profit: $88.91
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $1.6
Potential payout: $91.4
Potential profit: $89.8
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$3.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $4.36
Potential payout: $87.27
Potential profit: $82.91
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$5.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $6.29
Potential payout: $78.59
Potential profit: $72.3
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$3.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 10.8%
Current value: $7.98
Potential payout: $74.27
Potential profit: $66.29
Multiplier: 9.30x
User PnL: -$2.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $7.24
Potential payout: $62.94
Potential profit: $55.7
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$2.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $57.5
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $61.08
Potential profit: $61.02
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$2.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $12.44
Potential payout: $60.67
Potential profit: $48.23
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $5.63
Potential payout: $59.22
Potential profit: $53.6
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$4.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $4.81
Potential payout: $56.58
Potential profit: $51.77
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$5.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $14.33
Potential payout: $53.06
Potential profit: $38.73
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $14.47
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $38.16
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $4.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 15?

No 80% 3 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?

Yes 11% 17.48 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 15?

Yes 16.8% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 16?

No 68% 3.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on July 15?

Yes 12% 12.92 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 16?

No 69% 6.29 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 15?

Yes 16% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 15?

Yes 9.7% 19.37 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 15?

Yes 13% 56.8 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 15?

No 80% 12.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 15?

Yes 12% 21.79 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 16?

Yes 7.1% 68.25 shares