Polymarket Trader

growka

@arthurgrowka

0x604d2c393069de7447d44fc54bf632842856cc6f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $182.98
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26K
Potential profit: $5.26K
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 25?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 23?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 25?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.75K
Potential profit: $4.75K
User PnL: -$9.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.48K
Potential profit: $4.48K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.24K
Potential profit: $4.24K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$13

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.75K
Potential profit: $3.75K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 23?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.74K
Potential profit: $3.74K
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.35K
Potential profit: $3.35K
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 28?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.28K
Potential profit: $3.28K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 29?

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 2?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 24?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.86K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 18?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $2.78K
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 9?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $2.78K
User PnL: -$11

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 12?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.75K
Potential profit: $2.75K
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 1?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $2.67K
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 22?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.95

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $74.93

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Rebels Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will Elon tweet 650 or more times March 21-28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Ethereum hit $4250 by February 28 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Ethereum hit $4500 by February 28 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3900 on August 4?

Ends Aug 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $121K on August 4?

Ends Aug 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 90 times August 1–August 8?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 16?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4400 July 28–August 3?

Ends Aug 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $126K July 28–August 3?

Ends Aug 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Solana reach $220 July 28–August 3?

Ends Aug 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 12, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 12, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?

Ends Oct 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.19

LNG Esports position

LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 1?

Yes 15% 66.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 1?

Yes 3.1% 324.96 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 1?

Yes 1.9% 160.6 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 1?

Yes 1% 207.02 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 1?

Yes 0.6% 163.95 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 1?

Yes 0.5% 217.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C or higher on June 30?

Yes 0.7% 1,452.08 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on June 30?

Yes 1.4% 698.7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on June 30?

Yes 5.2% 191.39 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on June 30?

Yes 7% 142.07 shares
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage

Rebels Gaming 48% 100 shares
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage

Rebels Gaming 50% 50 shares