No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.37K
- Potential profit
- $15.37K
- User PnL
- -$229.98
Polymarket Trader
BitKiller
0x604f102e4934a5ad345ec3d8c53fb99d9869f149
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $601.97
- Realized PnL
- $1.26K
- Win rate
- 69.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$469
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $601.97
- Potential payout
- $657.89
- Potential profit
- $55.92
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $101.97
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $396
- Potential profit
- $396
- User PnL
- -$106.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.58
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $347.69
No position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.07
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.13
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.5
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.87
No position
Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.36
No position
Will the HBO documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Jaguars position
Patriots vs. Jaguars
Ends Oct 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
Yes position
Will Trump say "million" 10 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18?
Ends Oct 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.15
Patriots position
Patriots vs. Jaguars
Ends Oct 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.65
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.31
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?Yes 76% 657.89 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Yes 88.3% 1,133.13 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 1.3% 9,230.77 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 1.8% 6,142.04 shares
- Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?No 88.6% 2,309.29 shares
- Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 27% 396 shares
- Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 67% 700 shares
- Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes 87% 384.44 shares
- Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes 87% 2,000 shares
- Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes 84.1% 237.71 shares
- Will Trump say "million" 10 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18?Yes 63% 5 shares
- Patriots vs. JaguarsJaguars 71% 15 shares