Polymarket Trader

0.3672dA96fe32EE8eE63e28f8891Ed71733ea1DC6

0x6060d6512a59221eda6d00eace42d5924873a915

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $340.31
Realized PnL: $367.51
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $11.09
Potential payout: $207.34
Potential profit: $196.25
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Will the announcers say "Hattrick” or “Hat Trick" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $85.1
Potential payout: $185
Potential profit: $99.9
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $7.55

No position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $85.49
Potential payout: $154.03
Potential profit: $68.55
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $23.82

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $103.33
Potential profit: $100.18
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $3.56
Potential payout: $103.06
Potential profit: $99.5
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $14.44
Potential payout: $102.8
Potential profit: $88.35
Multiplier: 7.12x
User PnL: $2.31

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.9%
Current value: $11.14
Potential payout: $102.7
Potential profit: $91.56
Multiplier: 9.22x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $14.22
Potential payout: $102.66
Potential profit: $88.44
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.17
Potential profit: $102.17
User PnL: -$41.5

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.6%
Current value: $89.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $10.45
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $64.55

Yes position

Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.85
Potential profit: $30.85
User PnL: -$11.1

No position

Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $10.45
Potential profit: $9.36
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $4.18
Potential payout: $10.32
Potential profit: $6.14
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.24
Potential profit: $10.24
User PnL: -$4.3

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $7.45
Potential payout: $10.14
Potential profit: $2.69
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $9.84
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.33

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Nuggets position

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266.78

Yes position

Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $42.09

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.11

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.9

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $20.1

Perry position

MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6

Over position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.63

No position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.74

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Thunder

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $1.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$0.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Thunder position

Lakers vs. Thunder

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$2

Over position

Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.14

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.48

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.07

Celtics position

Spread: Celtics (-5.5)

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.41

Cavaliers position

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.27

Pistons position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "Hattrick” or “Hat Trick" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

No 41.9% 185 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

No 99.6% 225 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.4% 103.7 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 620 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 620 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 103.33 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.6% 103.06 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.9% 102.66 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 103.64 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.8% 102.8 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.6% 102.7 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 41% 10.32 shares