No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $5.16
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $5.71
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Polymarket Trader
0x607c...b9bc
0x607ce89f823d6b3bbd475792e5764fc5b058b9bc
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $46.53
- Realized PnL
- -$9.85
- Win rate
- 41.2%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $9.17
- Potential profit
- $7.24
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$2.93
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $4.08
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $2.12
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $6.02
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $4.48
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $3.52
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $3.52
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.48
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $4.63
- Potential payout
- $6.75
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $6.38
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.06
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $5.34
- Potential payout
- $6.17
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $5.95
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $1.59
- Potential payout
- $3.5
- Potential profit
- $1.91
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $2.7
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 NBA Finals be by 30 or more points?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
N
No position
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
No position
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.25B and $3.75B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.29
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $212 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.38
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.17
Yes position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.74
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.74
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.28
No position
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.96
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.38
Yes position
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.41
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No 79% 6.38 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 58% 8.14 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes 73% 6.75 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 80% 6.08 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 36% 7.61 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 53% 9.17 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 26.9% 18.59 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 61% 8.13 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?No 31% 7 shares
- Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of July 6 2026?No 45% 8.8 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes 35.6% 7.7 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No 46% 8.5 shares