Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $15.62
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $109.38
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.37
Polymarket Trader
0x6084...4278
0x60841abbc2c71e574f3270d6f60fe296e97b4278
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $15.62
- Realized PnL
- -$11.93
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.93
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes 56% 26.79 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 38% 97.56 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes 54% 9.26 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 36% 41.67 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?No 75% 40 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 36% 83.33 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 41% 97.56 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 80% 5 shares