Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $33.04
- Potential payout
- $52.44
- Potential profit
- $19.4
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$9.96
Polymarket Trader
zerwe
0x6084b1ecff31c0a68dc8394efcd94e95491ea5d9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.04
- Realized PnL
- $23.57
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.41
- Potential profit
- $45.41
- User PnL
- -$33.6
Yes position
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.23
- Potential profit
- $30.23
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.61
- Potential profit
- $25.61
- User PnL
- -$21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.85
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $5.03
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will "Ordinary - Alex Warren" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 18?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 25?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Harka Sampang be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 74% 45.41 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 67% 29.85 shares
- Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026?No 94.6% 31.78 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 82% 52.44 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No 85.8% 23.31 shares
- Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?Yes 86% 30.23 shares
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes 88% 22.73 shares
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 82% 25.61 shares
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 97.5% 12.51 shares
- Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 25?Yes 99.9% 15.31 shares
- Will "Ordinary - Alex Warren" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 18?No 99.9% 17.46 shares
- Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 99.1% 10 shares