Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.01M
- Potential profit
- $2.01M
- User PnL
- -$65.11K
Polymarket Trader
sdffdsgdagsg
0x6087e2651febbab9589e490cb5947f6a1ca3900c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.6K
- Realized PnL
- $9.95K
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.79K
- Potential profit
- $83.79K
- User PnL
- -$2.41K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.1K
- Potential profit
- $52.1K
- User PnL
- -$116.14
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.16K
- Potential profit
- $25.16K
- User PnL
- -$116
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $3.14K
- Potential payout
- $23.29K
- Potential profit
- $20.14K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$8.17K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.19K
- Potential profit
- $22.19K
- User PnL
- -$108.19
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.36K
- Potential profit
- $15.36K
- User PnL
- -$76.78
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $268.27
- Potential payout
- $11.18K
- Potential profit
- $10.91K
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- $122.96
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- User PnL
- -$12.16
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.72K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- User PnL
- -$25.67
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- User PnL
- -$447.59
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $130.54
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $980.46
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $8.33
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $926.44
- Potential profit
- $926.44
- User PnL
- -$4.63
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $34.18
- Potential payout
- $690.54
- Potential profit
- $656.36
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$34.42
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $564.4
- Potential profit
- $564.4
- User PnL
- -$21.25
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $310
- User PnL
- -$6.22
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $291.87
- Potential profit
- $291.87
- User PnL
- -$19.93
Yes position
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $3.06
- Potential payout
- $226.33
- Potential profit
- $223.28
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$5.26
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $4.55
- Potential payout
- $222
- Potential profit
- $217.45
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.44
- Potential payout
- $222
- Potential profit
- $220.56
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.78
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.2%
- Current value
- $15.81
- Potential payout
- $111
- Potential profit
- $95.19
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.7
- Potential profit
- $45.7
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Up position
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Up position
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.69K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.9
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.69
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $100.87
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.03
Yes position
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.47
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- $20.27
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.69
Yes position
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.56
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.68
Yes position
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.91
Yes position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Yes position
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.64
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$22.22
Yes position
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$41.15
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$41.78
Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$55.89
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$132.35
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$736.96
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.52K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETDown 11% 11 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETDown 17% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETUp 29% 5 shares
- Dogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETUp 3% 20 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?Yes 1.5% 1,592.05 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?Yes 2% 310 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?Yes 3.8% 280.77 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?Yes 3.7% 283.64 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No 0.1% 38,124 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No 0.5% 16,511.18 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?No 0.5% 726.44 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 0.5% 15,355.75 shares