Polymarket Trader

alwayslate133113

0x608b16197375d35db426375ccc2704dc6203fbd6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $81.54K
Realized PnL: $5.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $14.8K
Potential payout: $954.76K
Potential profit: $939.96K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$3K

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $20.46K
Potential payout: $349.71K
Potential profit: $329.25K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $1.46K

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $216.67K
Potential profit: $215.48K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$158.17

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $15.9K
Potential payout: $216.28K
Potential profit: $200.38K
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: $896.69

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $201.16K
Potential profit: $199.85K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$464.27

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $5.6K
Potential payout: $141.67K
Potential profit: $136.07K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$404.03

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $409.82
Potential payout: $91.07K
Potential profit: $90.66K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$290.06

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $4.57K
Potential payout: $68.66K
Potential profit: $64.09K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$34.26

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $745.16
Potential payout: $51.39K
Potential profit: $50.64K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$254.84

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $5.74K
Potential payout: $44.64K
Potential profit: $38.91K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $736.65

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $16.67K
Potential profit: $16.59K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$25

Ilia Topuria position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.7K
Potential profit: $14.7K
User PnL: -$12K

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $10.5K
Potential payout: $10.94K
Potential profit: $443.11
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $497.82

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.33K
Potential profit: $6.33K
User PnL: -$3K

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.23K
Potential profit: $4.23K
User PnL: -$1.37K

Yes position

Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $24.96
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.9K
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$15.03

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $215
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $785
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $65

Yes position

Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $549.42
Potential profit: $549.42
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $23.84
Potential payout: $280.42
Potential profit: $256.58
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$76.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6K

Yes position

MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $2.44K

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 20%
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $207.13

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 166,666.67 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 10,285.71 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.7% 23,880.6 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 71,428.57 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 187,500 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.4% 27,027.03 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.5% 66,666.67 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.7% 44,776.12 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 176,470.59 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 150,000 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ilia Topuria 82% 12,195.12 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 55,555.56 shares