30c9

Implied probability: 41.7%
Current value: $2.5K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $3.5K
Multiplier: 2.40x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.45K
User PnL: -$5.8

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$9.4

Yes position

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $560
Potential profit: $560
User PnL: -$5.04

No position

Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

Ends Oct 17, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $260.76
Potential payout: $537.64
Potential profit: $276.89
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$94.05

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420
Potential profit: $420
User PnL: -$5.04

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $340
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$144

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

Ends Oct 17, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $131.26
Potential payout: $183.58
Potential profit: $52.32
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $17.44
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $84.56
Multiplier: 5.85x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Graham Platner win between 65% and 70% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Graham Platner win between 75% and 80% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $50.21
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will "Waka Waka" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $3.2
Potential payout: $35.61
Potential profit: $32.4
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will "Hips Don't Lie" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2.21
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $18.8
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.1

Novak Djokovic position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Rayan Cherki score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $1.13
Potential profit: $0.99
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $492.16

No position

Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.67

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.08

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.1

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 58.4%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $27.06

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.47

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $24.25

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.11

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.64

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.35

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.14

No position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.61

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.92

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.85

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.1

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?