Yes position
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$47
Polymarket Trader
Lumia
0x608d71c91d2acd5b12ee084a7b8623259b3d3933
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $259.9
- Realized PnL
- $1.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Current value
- $20.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $179.7
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- -$6.7
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $180
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$52
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.8%
- Current value
- $32.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $67.25
- Multiplier
- 3.05x
- User PnL
- $21.75
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $90.65
- Multiplier
- 10.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $15
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$50
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Tim Cook say "M5" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Y
Yes position
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.5
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $70.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $29.5
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $15.5
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$45
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Japan?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$33
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$6
Y
Yes position
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $19.5
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $80.49
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $5.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.99
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
No position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 3AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 3AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
FC Bayern München position
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.5
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
Paris Saint-Germain FC position
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41
Yes position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.5
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil 1.1% 50 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 30% 100 shares
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil 28% 50 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Yes 32.6% 100 shares
- Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.9% 2,099.99 shares
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Sweden?Yes 12% 34 shares
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Sweden?Yes 10% 40 shares
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Sweden?Yes 8% 50 shares
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No 49% 100 shares
- SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?Tesla 3% 100 shares
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Japan?Yes 2.3% 48.42 shares
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes 55% 29.99 shares