No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- User PnL
- -$404.15
Polymarket Trader
marbles
0x608ec9022e8a26a4843d28abdafc4a63c8eb450d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $620.97
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $990.46
- Potential profit
- $990.46
- User PnL
- -$630
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $416.77
- Potential payout
- $416.98
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- User PnL
- $16.77
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $204.2
- Potential payout
- $204.3
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $182.52
- Potential profit
- $182.52
- User PnL
- -$75.8
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.08
- Potential profit
- $7.08
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?No 97.9% 204.3 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 95.9% 416.98 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 94% 602.13 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 6.1% 196.72 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?No 95.2% 11.68 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 3.5% 990.36 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?No 95.1% 37.29 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETUp 82% 1.19 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETUp 84% 1.19 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETUp 61% 1.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETUp 55% 1.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETDown 74% 1.69 shares