Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $527
- Potential payout
- $6.2K
- Potential profit
- $5.67K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $11.01
Polymarket Trader
banana333
0x60a60c2d03c39b6b726b3ef3f30d0c1dd258aac8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.24K
- Realized PnL
- $582.28
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $99.72
- Potential payout
- $316.58
- Potential profit
- $216.86
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $296.56
- Potential payout
- $312
- Potential profit
- $15.44
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $14.17
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $85.47
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $214.53
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.4%
- Current value
- $161.64
- Potential payout
- $206.31
- Potential profit
- $44.67
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $44
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $29.03
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.97
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147
Yes position
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $144.09
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Wizards
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $11.5
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.3
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.11
Yes position
Circle IPO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Yes position
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
Yes position
Solana ETF approved in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
Yes position
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $3.11
Yes position
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 9% 2,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 8% 1,500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 8% 2,092.56 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 78.3% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 8% 2,200 shares
- Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?Yes 15% 10.3 shares
- Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?Yes 11% 20 shares
- Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31?Yes 8.8% 210.21 shares
- Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31?Yes 12% 7.14 shares
- Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31?Yes 11% 7.14 shares