No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Current value
- $5.35K
- Potential payout
- $46.13K
- Potential profit
- $40.78K
- Multiplier
- 8.62x
- User PnL
- $1.69K
Polymarket Trader
paddaa
@Impij25
0x60a92c8620846d81f5ea17b0564e0d4b7c545a71
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $66.99K
- Realized PnL
- $91.59K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Current value
- $3.21K
- Potential payout
- $28.16K
- Potential profit
- $24.95K
- Multiplier
- 8.77x
- User PnL
- $35.99
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $11.98K
- Potential payout
- $20.47K
- Potential profit
- $8.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.01K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $3.14K
- Potential payout
- $17.97K
- Potential profit
- $14.82K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$539.64
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $3.91K
- Potential payout
- $16.62K
- Potential profit
- $12.71K
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.92K
Yes position
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.41
- Potential payout
- $12.81K
- Potential profit
- $12.81K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$134.49
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $5.19K
- Potential payout
- $12.51K
- Potential profit
- $7.32K
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5.84
- Potential payout
- $11.69K
- Potential profit
- $11.68K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$54.88
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $239.28
- Potential payout
- $11.18K
- Potential profit
- $10.94K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$15.71
Yes position
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5.3
- Potential payout
- $10.6K
- Potential profit
- $10.6K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$82.26
Yes position
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $10.42K
- Potential profit
- $10.42K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$85.16
Yes position
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $10.3K
- Potential profit
- $10.29K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$94.5
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $8.75K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $150.01
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.67K
- Potential payout
- $9.68K
- Potential profit
- $14.52
- User PnL
- $2.67K
Yes position
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $9.49K
- Potential profit
- $9.49K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$89.53
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $9.12K
- Potential profit
- $7.99K
- Multiplier
- 8.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.34K
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $1.44K
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $7.56K
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$450
Yes position
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $8.85K
- Potential profit
- $8.84K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$60.28
No position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $5.75K
- Potential payout
- $8.85K
- Potential profit
- $3.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $697.69
Yes position
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $8.4K
- Potential profit
- $8.4K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$62.19
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.6%
- Current value
- $7.01K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $991.58
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $807.54
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $7.55K
- Potential payout
- $7.87K
- Potential profit
- $326.71
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $491.34
Yes position
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.93
- Potential payout
- $7.86K
- Potential profit
- $7.86K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$56.84
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $137.2
- Potential payout
- $7.84K
- Potential profit
- $7.7K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.85K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.38K
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.16K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.83K
Yes position
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $4.37K
Yes position
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.86K
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8K
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76K
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $3.7K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.62K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.52K
No position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44K
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.95K
Yes position
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85K
Yes position
Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.82K
Yes position
Will the US strike Syria next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66K
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59K
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.57K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 10% 2,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 7.8% 4,133.64 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 11.4% 7,934.51 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 14.5% 3,574.9 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 33.8% 2,071.68 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 78.1% 6,402.05 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 23.1% 1,662.84 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 50.9% 4,322.51 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 44.8% 1,749.98 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 59.6% 8,395.57 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 29% 5 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 29% 5,172.41 shares