Polymarket Trader

happy3000

0x60ada61389b9798843184f5d0942abb877cb23c5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.58K
Realized PnL: $2.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $5.91K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $93.08
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $422.39

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.81K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $190
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $100

No position

Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $696.04
Potential payout: $814.08
Potential profit: $118.04
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $28.49

No position

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $163.52
Potential payout: $172.22
Potential profit: $8.7
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $8.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.5
Potential profit: $14.5
User PnL: -$1.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.19
Potential profit: $12.19
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.19
Potential profit: $12.19
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.19
Potential profit: $12.19
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.19
Potential profit: $12.19
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.19
Potential profit: $12.19
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.19
Potential profit: $12.19
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.19
Potential profit: $12.19
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.18
Potential profit: $12.18
User PnL: -$4.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$4.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$4.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.71

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.83

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.29

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.97

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $27.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.67

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 22?

Yes 9% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 22?

Yes 8.6% 5 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.6% 1,537.98 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 22?

Yes 0.2% 11.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 21?

Yes 99.9% 3.91 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 22?

Yes 0.2% 21.35 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 19?

No 44% 9.36 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 19?

No 45% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 19?

Yes 35.3% 9.83 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 19?

No 44% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 19?

Yes 22% 9.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 19?

Yes 11% 10 shares