No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $330.75
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $20.25
Polymarket Trader
tomharper
0x60cf88f42edd8e20cc2963fdb04eb5282b41425c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.02K
- Realized PnL
- -$4.32K
- Win rate
- 46.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $501.6
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.32
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.18
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$76.78
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$149.5
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$600
Yes position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.02K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.96K
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.78K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 74% 1,350 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 46% 138.14 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 45% 300 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 48% 500 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 17% 6,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 17% 6,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 2.4% 1,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 5.4% 581 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 64% 345.31 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?No 96.9% 3,365 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes 6.7% 49.35 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes 15% 1,601.08 shares