Polymarket Trader

Spoony

0x60d567cf90278166bcf66d163fee492faee19af9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $37.51
Realized PnL: $341.58
Win rate: 77.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $981.08
Potential profit: $981.08
User PnL: -$20

No position

Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $382.35
Potential profit: $382.35
User PnL: -$13

No position

S&P 500 all time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $371.87
Potential profit: $371.87
User PnL: -$47

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $475–500 in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $313.06
Potential profit: $313.06
User PnL: -$52

Yes position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.3%
Current value: $37.51
Potential payout: $230.13
Potential profit: $192.62
Multiplier: 6.13x
User PnL: -$37.49

Yes position

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $203.02
Potential profit: $203.02
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on December 18?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.15
Potential profit: $155.15
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Tesla dip to $375 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8

No position

Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110k November 3-9?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.12
Potential profit: $94.12
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.89
Potential profit: $87.89
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.5 and 1.0%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.25
Potential profit: $83.25
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.65
Potential profit: $48.65
User PnL: -$20

No position

Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.45
Potential profit: $42.45
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $42
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.45
Potential profit: $29.45
User PnL: -$6.67

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.67

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.85

Yes position

Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be above 0.4%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.5

Yes position

Will Trump sue the BBC?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.52

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.98

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $92,000 on November 19?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.7

No position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.67

No position

North Korea missile test by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Yes position

Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 3?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.67

No position

Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be exactly 0.2%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.73

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.31

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 107 billion views by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.7

No position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.67

Yes position

Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 2?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Up position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.71

Yes position

Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

No 24% 20.83 shares
Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?

Yes 5.2% 76.92 shares
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?

No 1.5% 800 shares
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?

No 47.1% 42.45 shares
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?

Yes 45% 33.33 shares
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?

Yes 34% 58.82 shares
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $475–500 in 2025?

Yes 6.6% 60.56 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Yes 6% 50 shares
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

No 90.5% 19.53 shares
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?

No 10.9% 183.64 shares
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

No 25.6% 19.53 shares
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?

No 86% 51.94 shares