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Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.65
Potential profit: $263.65
User PnL: -$1.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $239.4
Potential profit: $239.4
User PnL: -$11.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $228.87
Potential profit: $228.87
User PnL: -$2.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $221.58
Potential profit: $221.58
User PnL: -$2.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.44
Potential profit: $191.44
User PnL: -$3.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.42
Potential profit: $191.42
User PnL: -$49.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.39
Potential profit: $191.39
User PnL: -$23.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.13
Potential profit: $187.13
User PnL: -$15.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.08
Potential profit: $181.08
User PnL: -$38.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $177.97
Potential profit: $177.97
User PnL: -$51.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $177.29
Potential profit: $177.29
User PnL: -$15.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.67
Potential profit: $176.67
User PnL: -$7.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.38
Potential profit: $176.38
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.93
Potential profit: $164.93
User PnL: -$21.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.59
Potential profit: $163.59
User PnL: -$57.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.1
Potential profit: $163.1
User PnL: -$59.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.06
Potential profit: $163.06
User PnL: -$26.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 82°F or higher on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.21
Potential profit: $156.21
User PnL: -$2.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.2
Potential profit: $156.2
User PnL: -$12.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.98
Potential profit: $148.98
User PnL: -$5.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $147.06
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.96
Potential profit: $142.96
User PnL: -$2.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.29
Potential profit: $141.29
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.96
Potential profit: $140.96
User PnL: -$1.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C or higher on May 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or higher on May 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 10?