Polymarket Trader

ricknash

0x60f0a801800a1cb60592b82e21042d7d41170ab6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.33
Realized PnL: $10.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $11.97
Potential payout: $12.94
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $9.35
Potential payout: $12.07
Potential profit: $2.72
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.91

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Solana above $185 on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 4-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will XRP reach $5.0 in July?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $93000 on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will XRP reach $3.50 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Jumper airdrop in Q1 2025?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $91000 and $93000 on Mar 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Ethereum above $4000 on August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4000 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $138,000 October 6-12?

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 90 times June 27–July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 300 times March 28 - April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Elon Musk tweet less than 300 times February 7-14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Pacers position

Magic vs. Pacers

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 85% 12.07 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 85% 12.94 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 96.5% 19.69 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 91% 11.11 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 90% 11.11 shares
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 AND Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score

40.4% 9.9 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.7% 14.88 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.4% 14.89 shares
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

No 52% 24.21 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

No 93% 13.54 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

No 82% 13.55 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $138,000 October 6-12?

No 98.9% 11.11 shares