Polymarket Trader

Ariaj6

0x60f80874c90d9c92fcb51c43497ce25f84e97f3f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.95
Realized PnL: $6.14
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $16.95
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Magic position

Pistons vs. Magic

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Spurs position

76ers vs. Spurs

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on February 24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Mexico’s January unemployment rate be 2.3%?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 40°F or higher on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 39.5 and 40.0 million views on day 6?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on February 22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 62-63°F on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will UK GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -7°C on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 33°F or below on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

No 99.9% 17 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 99.9% 30 shares
Grok 4.4 released by June 15?

No 99.5% 25 shares
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?

No 99.9% 20 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 99% 46 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Thunder 99% 47 shares
Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Spurs 99.9% 40 shares
Magic vs. Pistons

Pistons 99.9% 40 shares
Pistons vs. Magic

Magic 99% 45.99 shares
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Spurs 99.8% 40 shares
Rockets vs. Lakers

Lakers 99.4% 20 shares
Bucks vs. 76ers

76ers 99.9% 20 shares