Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $151.02
- Potential payout
- $644
- Potential profit
- $492.98
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$131.97
Polymarket Trader
gammasq
0x60fc80c41e2b2b215506d2e47215aceb03a5a72f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.72K
- Realized PnL
- $1.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 90.2%
- Current value
- $463.37
- Potential payout
- $514
- Potential profit
- $50.63
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $78.88
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.6%
- Current value
- $382.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $117.25
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $132.75
Yes position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $376
- Potential profit
- $375.81
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$113.48
No position
Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $357.11
- Potential payout
- $358
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- User PnL
- $43.67
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $296.02
- Potential profit
- $296.02
- User PnL
- -$14.46
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $169.75
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- $12.91
Yes position
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $108.74
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$15.66
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $94.42
- Potential payout
- $107.91
- Potential profit
- $13.49
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $31.2
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $25.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $24.75
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $14.75
No position
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $27.75
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $4.81
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $28.13
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $27.15
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
No position
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.9%
- Current value
- $19.56
- Potential payout
- $22.78
- Potential profit
- $3.22
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $3.96
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $18.62
- Potential payout
- $20.57
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.01
Yes position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $5.3
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $14.7
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$3.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $624.04
Yes position
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.93
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $81.47
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.38
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.39
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.35
No position
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.2
No position
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.31
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.82
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.3
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.19
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.35
Yes position
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $11.32
Yes position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.26
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $6.12
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.79
No position
Will Germany join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87
No position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
Yes position
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07
No position
Will Norway join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.92
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 98.8% 52 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 25.4% 57 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No 21% 50 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 10.3% 30 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 98.8% 100 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 60% 52.91 shares
- Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 16.5% 151 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 29% 0.55 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 29% 5 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 21% 52 shares
- Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?Yes 8% 43 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 21% 15 shares