No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $833.09
- Potential payout
- $905.53
- Potential profit
- $72.44
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.87
Polymarket Trader
peaceand
0x610a09c7323b4b96f353de14c4f83e3533d0d32a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1K
- Realized PnL
- $16.54
- Win rate
- 59.1%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $82.5
- Potential payout
- $117.03
- Potential profit
- $34.52
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$17.5
No position
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $87.13
- Potential payout
- $104.98
- Potential profit
- $17.85
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $6.3
No position
Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $29.14
- Potential profit
- $28.73
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$4.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.6
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.34
No position
Ethereum all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.57
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
No position
Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
BNB all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 59°F or higher on November 2?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Up position
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.89
No position
USDT depeg in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.88
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$11.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
XRP Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 91.7% 905.53 shares
- Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 77% 104.98 shares
- Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 17.2% 29.14 shares
- Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 85.4% 117.03 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 86% 23.8 shares
- Ethereum all time high by December 31?No 99.2% 347.45 shares
- Ethereum all time high by December 31?No 99% 139.75 shares
- BNB all time high by December 31?No 98.9% 20.22 shares
- Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?No 91% 21.98 shares
- Ethereum all time high by December 31?No 99% 248.81 shares
- Ethereum all time high by December 31?No 98.3% 995.28 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes 71% 125 shares