Polymarket Trader

GlennQuagmire

0x610cf7527305f724d059694fc755b678a67b90d2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $695.07
Realized PnL: $742.03
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $309.81
Potential payout: $323.23
Potential profit: $13.41
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $75.81

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $149.78
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $0.22
User PnL: $8.78

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $99.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.35
User PnL: $7.65

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $84.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $15.5
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $26.5

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $50.3
Potential payout: $61.73
Potential profit: $11.43
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $19.61
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.1
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.31

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.52

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.67

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.67

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.59

No position

Will France strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.6

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $35.82

No position

Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.01

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

Yes position

Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.38

No position

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.16

No position

Will Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.62

Yes position

Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.38

No position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.4

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.82

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.42

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.85

Yes position

Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.44

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.86

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.69

Yes position

Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.65

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.5

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.36

No position

Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next French Prime Minister?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.96

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

No 81% 61.73 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 26% 39.68 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 98.8% 150 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

No 92% 100 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 3% 57.48 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 29% 99.99 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 30% 99.99 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 91% 21.98 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 69% 72.46 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 94% 200 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 87% 487.14 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 4% 57.47 shares