No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $0.5
Polymarket Trader
Varil
0x611f56fb8b2852cd7865b6f1ff645ed8291dec74
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.4K
- Realized PnL
- $2.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $504.15
- Potential payout
- $504.4
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $500.25
- Potential payout
- $500.5
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $387.4
- Potential payout
- $387.59
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $346.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 44-45°F on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.81
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.1
No position
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?
Ends Jan 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.21
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $112.25
No position
Will ohnePixel vape on stream in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.78
No position
Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.01
No position
Will Anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.31
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $99.21
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84
Yes position
Fact Check: Cybertruck explosion intentional?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.51
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 46-47°F on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.39
No position
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.96
No position
Will Elon tweet 270 or more times June 27–July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on January 29?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.68
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.98
No position
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.76
Yes position
Trudeau out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.64
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will $Trump FDV be less than $5b on Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.9
No position
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $150m?
Ends Jul 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.81
Yes position
Will 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' opening weekend gross less than $16m?
Ends Jan 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.3
No position
Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 20?No 99.9% 250.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 20?No 99.9% 250.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 20?No 99.9% 250.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 20?No 99.9% 250.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 20?No 99.9% 250.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 19?No 99.9% 178.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 19?No 99.9% 250.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 19?No 99.9% 250.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 19?No 99.9% 250.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 19?No 99.9% 250.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 20?No 99.9% 250.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 20?No 99.9% 87.88 shares