Polymarket Trader

Fiskantes

0x612a7b083170a5e0568839cd179e0c2a0524fee9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.24K
Realized PnL: $24.42K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $18.35K
Potential profit: $16.97K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$7.12K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.79K
Potential profit: $13.79K
User PnL: -$2.39K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $558.67
Potential payout: $8.59K
Potential profit: $8.04K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$4.38K

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.06K
Potential profit: $6.06K
User PnL: -$60

No position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.86K
Potential profit: $4.86K
User PnL: -$1.3K

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $3.7K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $3.2K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$87

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$240

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.85K
Potential profit: $2.85K
User PnL: -$797.44

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.82K
Potential profit: $2.82K
User PnL: -$1.68K

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.82K
Potential profit: $2.82K
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.77K
Potential profit: $2.77K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

Football.Fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $2.7K
User PnL: -$243

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $150
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.35K
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.34K
Potential profit: $2.34K
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?

Ends Apr 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $158.33
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$341.67

Yes position

Football.Fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$443.05

Yes position

Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?

Ends Apr 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Dommaraju Gukesh win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?

Ends Apr 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.24K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.19K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94K

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $671.54

No position

Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $609.67

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $515.15

Ansem position

Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night

Ends Dec 5, 2024

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $498.39

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $456.21

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.19

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.18

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.65

No position

Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.83

Yes position

Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.2

No position

Will David Sacks say "Memecoin" during his February 4 presser?

Ends Feb 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.94

No position

David Baszucki out as Roblox CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

No position

Interstellar object confirmed aliens?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$91.14

Yes position

Will David Sacks say "Solana" during his February 4 presser?

Ends Feb 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will David Sacks say "Ethereum" during his February 4 presser?

Ends Feb 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$300

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Yes 53% 250.01 shares
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Yes 53% 250.01 shares
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Yes 53% 318.97 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 60% 4,262.04 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 59% 2,751.24 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Yes 50.5% 2,600 shares
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Yes 28% 38 shares
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Yes 28% 150 shares
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Yes 28% 200 shares
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Yes 28% 115.69 shares
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Yes 62% 1,994.18 shares
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Yes 28% 966.51 shares