No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $702.51
- Potential payout
- $726.86
- Potential profit
- $24.35
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Polymarket Trader
0x6138...c38e
0x61381babb00a834c38f2e874a05ab8cc58c9c38e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $702.51
- Realized PnL
- $3.61
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.74
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $31.36
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.04
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- $10.55
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.43
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.76
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.31
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.39
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.67
No position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$15.41
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$16.26
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$21.75
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$24.85
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$74.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 10.3% 539.42 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 25% 337.09 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8% 566.25 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.8% 289.96 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 27.5% 627.05 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 32.2% 763.99 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 35.5% 763.99 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 51% 1,568.08 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 49% 1,568.08 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8.9% 1,036.41 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 9.1% 1,036.41 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 21.1% 787.81 shares