Yes position
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $963.04
- Potential payout
- $148.16K
- Potential profit
- $147.2K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$518.56
Polymarket Trader
tradexplorer
0x6138b966436f811bc0e3f0d35f1fb14b869b97a0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $105.24K
- Realized PnL
- $119.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $850
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $99.15K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $775.8
- Potential payout
- $91.27K
- Potential profit
- $90.49K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$410.72
No position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $10.42K
- Potential payout
- $19.66K
- Potential profit
- $9.24K
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$786.37
No position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $6.61K
- Potential payout
- $18.61K
- Potential profit
- $12K
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$2.4K
No position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $12.41K
- Potential payout
- $17K
- Potential profit
- $4.59K
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$101.54
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $3.71K
- Potential payout
- $13.25K
- Potential profit
- $9.54K
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$2.9K
No position
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $10.69K
- Potential payout
- $12.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$218.34
No position
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.58K
- Potential payout
- $11.71K
- Potential profit
- $10.13K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.39K
No position
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $5.95K
- Potential payout
- $9.68K
- Potential profit
- $3.73K
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$884.39
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $3.07K
- Potential payout
- $8.91K
- Potential profit
- $5.84K
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.21K
No position
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $6.13K
- Potential payout
- $7.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$347.9
Yes position
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $6.85K
- Potential payout
- $7.09K
- Potential profit
- $244.64
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $579.96
No position
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $5.07K
- Potential payout
- $6.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$79.91
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $3.03K
- Potential payout
- $6.65K
- Potential profit
- $3.62K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.42K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $5.98K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $21
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $1.24K
- Potential payout
- $5.53K
- Potential profit
- $4.28K
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$317.04
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.53K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $475
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $2.67K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $2.32K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.07K
No position
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$3.51K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $4.47K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $525
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $325
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $4.1K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $899.98
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $637.73
No position
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.99K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$847.66
No position
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $4.12K
- Potential payout
- $4.66K
- Potential profit
- $535.93
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $267.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.8K
No position
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.53K
Yes position
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.28K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.75K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06K
No position
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44K
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.81K
No position
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79K
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4K
No position
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32K
No position
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98K
Yes position
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2K
Yes position
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12K
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06K
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02K
Yes position
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01K
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3K
South Africa position
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61K
No position
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51K
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3K
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18K
No position
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2K
Yes position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 51% 3,662 shares
- Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?No 3.2% 190 shares
- Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?No 3% 95 shares
- Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?No 90% 27 shares
- Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 30.1% 260 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?No 94.6% 467.66 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 83.6% 11.24 shares
- Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?No 5% 305.97 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 6.7% 858.37 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 84.6% 2,016.17 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 37% 3,574.55 shares
- Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 27.9% 724 shares