Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.7%
- Current value
- $264.28
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 8.58x
- User PnL
- -$31.65
Polymarket Trader
SicMundusCreatusEst
0x614246a3f935196066a32c239fe84943eaeb367b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $814.2
- Realized PnL
- $3.61K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $89.82
- Potential payout
- $855.45
- Potential profit
- $765.63
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$53.1
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $801.26
- Potential profit
- $801.26
- User PnL
- -$10.18
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $799.6
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $75.1
- Potential payout
- $603.2
- Potential profit
- $528.1
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- -$20.17
Yes position
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $5.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $494.25
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$13.75
Yes position
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $21.3
- Potential payout
- $352
- Potential profit
- $330.7
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- -$3.65
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350.39
- Potential profit
- $350.39
- User PnL
- -$280.54
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.39
- Potential payout
- $309.19
- Potential profit
- $307.8
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $15.45
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $284.55
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $53.81
- Potential payout
- $299.79
- Potential profit
- $245.98
- Multiplier
- 5.57x
- User PnL
- -$84.29
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $27.68
- Potential payout
- $270
- Potential profit
- $242.33
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$7.95
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $20.15
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $239.85
- Multiplier
- 12.90x
- User PnL
- -$10.01
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 0 Colombia?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $249.88
- Potential profit
- $249.88
- User PnL
- -$28.48
Y
Yes position
Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $32.27
- Potential payout
- $215.1
- Potential profit
- $182.83
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $2.15
Conor McGregor position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $68.98
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $131.02
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $5.98
Yes position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $11.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $188.7
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $185
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $172.41
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$93
Yes position
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $104.99
- Potential payout
- $119.99
- Potential profit
- $15
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.8
N
No position
Will 1+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101
- Potential profit
- $101
- User PnL
- -$31.31
Y
Yes position
Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $93.5
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$23.5
Y
Yes position
Will Iran finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $79.51
- Potential profit
- $79.47
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$20.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $769.64
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344.68
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.77
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.42
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.89
No position
Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.68
Moise Kouame position
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.08
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $102.77
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.91
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.98
No position
US strike on Colombia by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.76
No position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $77.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETDown 50.8% 12.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETDown 50% 12.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETDown 50% 12.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETUp 51% 12.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETUp 51% 12.24 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETUp 51% 12.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETUp 45% 14.31 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETDown 51% 7.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETDown 50% 12.24 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETDown 51% 12.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown 50% 7.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETDown 51% 12.24 shares