Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $197.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.8K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$80.5
Polymarket Trader
ThelastoneNB
0x61497380e18b34c36491fba52b1e28277a938a58
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $774.26
- Realized PnL
- $5.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Nik Bonitto win the 2025-26 NFL DPOY?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $610.71
- Potential profit
- $610.71
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $601.79
- Potential profit
- $601.79
- User PnL
- -$153.06
Liquid position
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $569.99
- Potential profit
- $569.99
- User PnL
- -$123
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $119.34
- Potential payout
- $520
- Potential profit
- $400.66
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $48.56
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $106.29
- Potential payout
- $520
- Potential profit
- $413.71
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- $57.93
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $29.9
- Potential payout
- $520
- Potential profit
- $490.1
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$14.82
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $57.98
- Potential payout
- $520
- Potential profit
- $462.02
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- -$24.18
No position
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $507.75
- Potential profit
- $507.75
- User PnL
- -$242.77
No position
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.09
- Potential profit
- $500.09
- User PnL
- -$43.33
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.7%
- Current value
- $263.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $236.75
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $106.25
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will Laura Nolte (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Bobsled - 2 Woman (Driver) at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$89
No position
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $475.01
- Potential profit
- $475.01
- User PnL
- -$194.75
No position
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.46
- Potential profit
- $454.46
- User PnL
- -$258.14
Reese position
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $450
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Imanol Rodriguez win by KO or TKO?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $450
- User PnL
- -$214
Yes position
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $445.96
- Potential profit
- $445.96
- User PnL
- -$11.88
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $440
- Potential profit
- $440
- User PnL
- -$30.8
No position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $439.29
- Potential profit
- $439.29
- User PnL
- -$235.31
No position
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $419.87
- Potential profit
- $419.87
- User PnL
- -$264.23
No position
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $412.29
- Potential profit
- $412.29
- User PnL
- -$134.82
Yes position
Will Cassie Sharpe (CAN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $410.2
- Potential profit
- $410.2
- User PnL
- -$9.4
G2 Minnesota position
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $405.81
- Potential profit
- $405.81
- User PnL
- -$103.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zhongyan Ning (CHN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.67
Yes position
Fight to Go the Distance?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.21
Yes position
Will Megan Oldhamm (CAN) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285
No position
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.42
Demoor position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251
No position
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.92
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.74
No position
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.02
No position
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.93
No position
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.59
Natus Vincere position
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3)
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214
No position
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.47
No position
Will Chloe Kim (USA) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203
Yes position
Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.82
Yes position
Fight to Go the Distance?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.26
No position
Will Santiago Luna win by KO or TKO?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.54
No position
Will McLaren get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.56
No position
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.49
Yes position
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.63
Yes position
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.49
G2 Minnesota position
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.44
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182
Yes position
Fight to Go the Distance?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.64
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes 39% 120 shares
- Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes 39% 50.05 shares
- Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 45% 121.71 shares
- Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 45% 130 shares
- Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No 99.8% 55.49 shares
- Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?No 99.9% 148.4 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?Yes 13% 100 shares
- Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No 53.1% 100 shares
- Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes 76.2% 403.08 shares
- Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No 99.8% 536.31 shares
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No 96.1% 105.32 shares
- Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes 52% 40 shares