No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $116.47K
- Potential payout
- $117.17K
- Potential profit
- $703.01
- User PnL
- $16.9K
Polymarket Trader
mr.ozi
@MrOziPM
0x614dc8d3542c12103d2c6a3553fd761e391d1546
Verified Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $767.92K
- Realized PnL
- $643.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 29
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $115.44K
- Potential payout
- $115.61K
- Potential profit
- $173.41
- User PnL
- $78.24K
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $67.6K
- Potential payout
- $80K
- Potential profit
- $12.4K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $20.36K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $70K
- Potential payout
- $80K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $14.13K
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $68.24K
- Potential payout
- $70.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.66K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.53K
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.2%
- Current value
- $42.33K
- Potential payout
- $57.09K
- Potential profit
- $14.76K
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $11.8K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.2%
- Current value
- $41.11K
- Potential payout
- $48.82K
- Potential profit
- $7.71K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $9.39K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $41.01K
- Potential payout
- $41.68K
- Potential profit
- $666.88
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $6.53K
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $36.69K
- Potential payout
- $37K
- Potential profit
- $314.5
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $25.37K
- Potential payout
- $26.04K
- Potential profit
- $663.96
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $496.23
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $18.6K
- Potential payout
- $25.65K
- Potential profit
- $7.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $11.4K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $8.6K
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$75.5
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $18.25K
- Potential payout
- $19.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $7.49K
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $8.58
- Potential payout
- $17.15K
- Potential profit
- $17.14K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$94.34
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $10.94K
- Potential payout
- $15.09K
- Potential profit
- $4.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $876.39
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $14.82K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $180
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.35K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $13.35K
- Potential payout
- $14.27K
- Potential profit
- $927.78
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $323.34
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Current value
- $11.78K
- Potential payout
- $12.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.66K
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $10.94K
- Potential payout
- $12.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.2%
- Current value
- $9.03K
- Potential payout
- $10.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $160.66
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $8.85K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $420.04
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $3.23K
- Potential payout
- $6.03K
- Potential profit
- $2.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $874.44
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $3.95K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $46
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $194
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.4%
- Current value
- $2.21K
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $234.56
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$86.55
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- $195
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $1.62K
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $59.46
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $40.32
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $1.54K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $61.58
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $66.38
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $862.61
- Potential payout
- $974.7
- Potential profit
- $112.09
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $266.92
No position
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $310
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $190
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.72K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.43K
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.62K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.11K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.03K
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.65K
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.21K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.36K
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.86K
No position
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.75K
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.52K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $17.75K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.4K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.47K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.1K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.18K
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.51K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.14K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.12K
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.33K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.13K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.67K
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.89K
No position
Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.82K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.73K
Yes position
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.41K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.15K
Yes position
Yoon arrested by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.08K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.82K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67K
No position
Israel military action against Iran in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.45K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43K
No position
Will Donald Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Michigan town hall?
Ends Sep 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.41K
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81K
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.75K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.66K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.57K
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44K
Yes position
<180 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33K
No position
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26K
No position
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98K
No position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89K
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87K
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48K
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.1%
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $4.4K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 72.1% 5,000.06 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 93.9% 2,443.36 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 93% 5,000 shares
- Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?No 63% 236.16 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 74.6% 4,042.86 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 63% 4,767.22 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 63.1% 7,046.03 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 67.6% 1,433.76 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 72% 10 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 63.7% 10,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 38.4% 13,003.15 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No 51% 434.88 shares