Polymarket Trader

EllenMorris3613

@soldier_ba17414

0x61590ae088e9971a85c6fcce6694ab4824837501

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $67.23
Realized PnL: $2.1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $48.15
Potential payout: $321
Potential profit: $272.85
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$80.25

Yes position

Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $12.87
Potential payout: $66
Potential profit: $53.13
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Deel IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $22.92
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$12.12

No position

Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $1.64
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $2.36
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$1.48

No position

Databricks IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $3.34
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $0.66
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.85
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $423

Yes position

Will the 2025–2026 edition of Dick Clark's New Year's Rockin' Eve have between 22.5 million and 25 million viewers?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $354.4

Yes position

Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $304.46

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.53

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 9 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.09

Yes position

Will Oro launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.8

Yes position

Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $64.26

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.53

Yes position

Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.94

No position

Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.93

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.36

Yes position

Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.54

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $31.68

Yes position

Will F1® 25 win VR Game of the Year at the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.72

Yes position

Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.36

Yes position

Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.8

Yes position

Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.44

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.54

No position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.33

Yes position

Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.79

Yes position

Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.43

No position

Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.21

Yes position

Will Vance say "Iran" during his Rocky Mount visit?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.92

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.81

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026

No 79% 256 shares
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026

No 74% 256 shares
Will Venstre win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

No 90% 113 shares
Will MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?

No 13% 402 shares
Will MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?

No 13% 65 shares
Will Venstre win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

No 83% 113 shares
Will MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?

No 46% 467 shares
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces

Evansville Aces 77% 574 shares
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No 33.7% 435 shares
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No 74.1% 73 shares
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

No 12% 441 shares
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No 37.9% 435 shares