Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $62.5
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$8.55
Polymarket Trader
0x615d14108432E53444B6C1728a71187E9c2616c2-1768415376159
0x615d14108432e53444b6c1728a71187e9c2616c2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $68.09
- Realized PnL
- -$496.23
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $5.59
- Potential payout
- $50.83
- Potential profit
- $45.24
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.25
- Potential profit
- $17.25
- User PnL
- -$3.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$496.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 20.3% 603.83 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.2% 1,329.61 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 12% 50.83 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.8% 1,035.71 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes 20% 17.25 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes 0.3% 907.27 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes 55% 907.27 shares