Polymarket Trader

LisaPeterson8285

@AirelleFen94475

0x6163c2ae3e19b03a2c62d85587bf8e2f1b3858cc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $408.1
Realized PnL: $1.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$1.02K

No position

Will Delroy Lindo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $498
Potential profit: $498
User PnL: -$398.4

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $377
Potential profit: $377
User PnL: -$4.52

Yes position

Congress authorizes military force against Iran in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $365
Potential profit: $365
User PnL: -$4.47

No position

Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $266.31
Potential payout: $269
Potential profit: $2.69
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $67.25

Yes position

Netanyahu out by 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $237
Potential profit: $237
User PnL: -$6.16

Yes position

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233
Potential profit: $233
User PnL: -$9.79

Yes position

Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $212.29
Potential profit: $212.29
User PnL: -$4.88

Yes position

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208
Potential profit: $208
User PnL: -$3.33

No position

Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 54.6%
Current value: $105.28
Potential payout: $193
Potential profit: $87.72
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $70.16

Yes position

20+ trapped Hamas fighters allowed to leave in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186
Potential profit: $186
User PnL: -$16.74

No position

Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $36.51
Potential payout: $149
Potential profit: $112.5
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $23.1

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149
Potential profit: $149
User PnL: -$2.68

Yes position

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133
Potential profit: $133
User PnL: -$5.45

No position

Will Alabama make the College Football Playoff?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132
Potential profit: $132
User PnL: -$24.95

Yes position

Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$3.96

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 1, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107
Potential profit: $107
User PnL: -$27.82

Yes position

AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$2.1

No position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70%?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $101
User PnL: -$37.37

Yes position

Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94
Potential profit: $94
User PnL: -$25.38

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94
Potential profit: $94
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91
Potential profit: $91
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83
Potential profit: $83
User PnL: -$68.89

No position

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$1.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Brown University shooter arrested by December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.88

No position

Infinex FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.75

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.92

Yes position

Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $106.6

Yes position

Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.95

No position

Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.6

Yes position

Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?

Ends Sep 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: $59.4

No position

Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.42

Yes position

Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.8

No position

Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $42.42

No position

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $42.3

No position

Will January 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.11

No position

Will George Clooney be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.61

Yes position

Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.53

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.96

Yes position

Will Ryan Seacrest say "Kiss" on New Year's Rockin' Eve?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.8

Yes position

Will Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.69

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.53

No position

Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.73

Yes position

Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.65

Yes position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.5

Yes position

Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $31.2

Yes position

Will Franco Parisi endorse no candidate for President of Chile?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?

No 19% 38 shares
Will January 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

No 99.5% 37 shares
Will January 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

No 99.5% 272 shares
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

No 79% 86 shares
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 14% 982 shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 56% 797 shares
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 33% 6 shares
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

No 51% 82 shares
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?

No 27% 142 shares
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?

No 27% 716 shares
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

No 52% 82 shares
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?

No 31% 858 shares