D-dogg

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $2.26K
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $1.57K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$7.86

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $948
Potential profit: $948
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $909.09
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $653.67
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $547.62
Potential profit: $547.62
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $435.11
Potential profit: $435.11
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $417
Potential profit: $417
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $5.59
Potential payout: $385.19
Potential profit: $379.6
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$4.41

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $109.68
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $212.9
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $9.68

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $284.14
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$8.43

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $10.54
Potential payout: $242.86
Potential profit: $232.32
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$19.46

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $238.1
User PnL: -$5

Up position

XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $223.52
Potential profit: $223.52
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201
Potential profit: $201
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $45.1
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $147.21
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $35.1

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.12
Potential profit: $169.12
User PnL: -$115

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Ilia Topuria position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$100

Derrick Lewis position

UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$25

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$60

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Down position

XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Diego Lopes position

UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.98

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET