Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $950
- Potential profit
- $950
- User PnL
- -$113
Polymarket Trader
Midas14
0x61837ce7e447a35cafd173dec3e0815326003834
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.33K
- Realized PnL
- $2.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $621.54
- Potential payout
- $757.98
- Potential profit
- $136.44
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $41.67
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Current value
- $485.32
- Potential payout
- $549
- Potential profit
- $63.68
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $21.03
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $298.65
- Potential payout
- $330
- Potential profit
- $31.35
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $270
- Potential profit
- $269.87
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.19
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $186.59
- Potential payout
- $234.71
- Potential profit
- $48.11
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.35
Yes position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $181.93
- Potential payout
- $214.03
- Potential profit
- $32.11
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $13.7
No position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $209.48
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- User PnL
- $36.48
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $191.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $8.1
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $9.2
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.3%
- Current value
- $162.57
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $37.42
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $9.58
No position
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $157.84
- Potential payout
- $167.03
- Potential profit
- $9.19
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $31.13
No position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $135.24
- Potential payout
- $161
- Potential profit
- $25.76
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$1.61
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $159.92
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $10.32
Yes position
Amazon 2026 capex above $200B?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $121.36
- Potential payout
- $158.64
- Potential profit
- $37.28
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $8.89
Yes position
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $154
- Potential profit
- $153.38
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.7
Yes position
Amazon 2026 capex above $190B?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $88.38
- Potential payout
- $106.48
- Potential profit
- $18.1
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $6.39
Yes position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $100.01
- User PnL
- -$79.01
Yes position
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.85
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$17.85
No position
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $90.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $47.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $52.5
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
No position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $99.3
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- User PnL
- $15.3
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $95.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $14.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $497.25
No position
Google forced to sell Chrome?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.91
No position
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $250.95
No position
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $173.38
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $167.1
No position
Will OpenAI acquire Chrome by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.66
No position
Will Meta settle with the FTC?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.63
No position
China x Taiwan military clash by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.05
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.37
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.32
Yes position
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.93
No position
Lula out before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.85
Yes position
Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.98
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.45
No position
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $46.33
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $260 end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.5
No position
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
Ends Dec 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.96
No position
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.63
No position
Will OpenAI acquire Chrome before before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.47
No position
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.8
No position
OpenAI acquired in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.39
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.32
No position
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.08
No position
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 99% 30 shares
- Neymar Jr: 1+ goalsNo 83% 85 shares
- Neymar Jr: 1+ goalsNo 79% 50 shares
- Neymar Jr: 1+ goalsNo 82% 34.21 shares
- Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes 44.8% 50 shares
- Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No 85% 111 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 92.9% 50 shares
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to ScoreNo 96% 50 shares
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to ScoreNo 90% 10 shares
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Over 56% 10 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 86% 25 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 89% 25 shares