No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $1.51K
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $15.99
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.33
Polymarket Trader
S3RENITY
0x618b47fa5ec390675a164c137818e48de82d342d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.51K
- Realized PnL
- $377.94
- Win rate
- 93.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.47
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.04
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.29
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.14
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.01
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.06
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.31
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 1,007.95 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.2% 2,501.05 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 99.9% 2,346 shares
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?No 99.4% 2,343.79 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes 99.9% 2,330 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.9% 2,318.85 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.7% 2,316.53 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 99.6% 2,240.3 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 99.7% 2,231.33 shares
- Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?Yes 99.8% 2,224.64 shares