Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $3.1K
- User PnL
- -$3.1
Polymarket Trader
niaoniaodu
0x61a20e05a8ce8e19671cafe974c8555fd82ade30
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.9
- Realized PnL
- $2.56
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?
Ends Sep 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $14.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $10.53
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
DeepSeek V4 released before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will TikTok be banned again before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Flex Player?
Ends Jan 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Rumeysa Ozturk be deported before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "All The Stars"?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Elon Musk be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Luca Doncic lead the NBA in scoring?
Ends Apr 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Israel x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Grant Calcaterra score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will SZA perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Jarred McCain win NBA Rookie of the Year?
Ends May 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Caris LeVert win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Fiorentina win the Serie A?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2No 30% 20 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes 19% 10.53 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Yes 0.1% 2,100 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released before July?No 75% 2.67 shares
- Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?No 85% 1.18 shares
- Will Rumeysa Ozturk be deported before July?No 96% 2.08 shares
- Israel x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before July?No 98.4% 1.02 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?No 96.6% 2.07 shares
- Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July?No 98.1% 2.19 shares
- Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?No 87% 2.3 shares
- Will TikTok be banned again before May?No 77% 2.6 shares