Polymarket Trader

DanielScott8293

0x61a8b8e33cad1426ddf354c664b70fe8437bf658

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $79.19
Realized PnL: $1.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $794
Potential profit: $794
User PnL: -$366.83

Yes position

Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $331
Potential profit: $331
User PnL: -$46.34

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the Super Bowl?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $252
Potential profit: $252
User PnL: -$42.84

Yes position

Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $195
Potential profit: $189.25
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$68.35

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155
Potential profit: $155
User PnL: -$23.25

Yes position

Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136
Potential profit: $136
User PnL: -$29.65

No position

Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $73.44
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $56.56
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$20.16

No position

Will Jeff Merkley be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oregon?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116
Potential profit: $116
User PnL: -$105.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in December 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114
Potential profit: $114
User PnL: -$1.37

No position

Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $95
User PnL: -$43.7

Yes position

Mistral AI IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85
Potential profit: $85
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will Powell say "Again" 10+ times during December press conference?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82
Potential profit: $82
User PnL: -$30.34

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $81
User PnL: -$54.27

Yes position

Freddie Mac IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73
Potential profit: $73
User PnL: -$1.61

No position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57
Potential profit: $57
User PnL: -$25.65

Yes position

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $54
User PnL: -$3.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53
Potential profit: $53
User PnL: -$38.96

No position

Will the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $52
User PnL: -$10.92

No position

Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46
Potential profit: $46
User PnL: -$24.38

Yes position

Glean IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Peace" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $36
User PnL: -$28.08

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$14

No position

Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$14.86

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Southern Illinois Salukis position

Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399.52

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $161.55

No position

Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.54

No position

Will January 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.2

Yes position

US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $104.72

Yes position

Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $94.2

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.58

Yes position

Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $82.53

Yes position

Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80.13

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.36

Yes position

Will GroenLinks (GL) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.86

Yes position

Will Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.84

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 4?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.28

Yes position

Will Kevin Hart attend the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.36

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12%
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $18.15

Yes position

Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.64

No position

Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.38

Yes position

Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.8%
Multiplier: 4.39x
User PnL: $15.97

Yes position

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.77

Yes position

Will John Harbaugh join the Cleveland Browns prior to April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.58

Yes position

Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $14.31

No position

Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.86

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?

No 88.5% 996 shares
Will Kinetiq reach $1 before 2027?

No 73% 128 shares
Will Kinetiq reach $1 before 2027?

No 85% 128 shares
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

No 15% 593 shares
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

No 16% 83 shares
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

No 16% 26 shares
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

No 14% 702 shares
National T20 Cup: Karachi Region Whites vs Tbc A

Tbc A 49.9% 668 shares
Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by March 31?

No 72% 129 shares
Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by March 31?

No 72% 153 shares
Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Score

No 46% 95 shares
Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by March 31?

No 80% 282 shares